# Probability map The primary utility of the probability map is to calculate boldness of the bets when they are placed. A prediction that diverges from the consensus forecast is considered bolder, especially if it lands in a low-confidence or low-liquidity region of the price-time map. Torch applies bet decay weighting, which gradually reduces the influence of older or outdated predictions. As time progresses, stale bets lose relevance, and the map shifts to reflect the most recent inputs. The probability map ensures that Torch remains responsive to new information, while bold, recent, and high-quality predictions carry greater impact, both in shaping the forecast and earning rewards. --- # Agent Instructions: Querying This Documentation If you need additional information that is not directly available in this page, you can query the documentation dynamically by asking a question. Perform an HTTP GET request on the current page URL with the `ask` query parameter: ``` GET https://torch-1.gitbook.io/litepaper/probability-map.md?ask= ``` The question should be specific, self-contained, and written in natural language. The response will contain a direct answer to the question and relevant excerpts and sources from the documentation. Use this mechanism when the answer is not explicitly present in the current page, you need clarification or additional context, or you want to retrieve related documentation sections.